Data-Driven: gold price levels from options data
Updated 4 times a day, converted to broker XAUUSD prices and drawn on a live chart, so you can see at a glance which support and resistance price is near.
- 08:00 next
- 13:00 later
- 18:30 later
- 21:00 later
Next update 08:00 (Thai time)
- This round
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- Pivot
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- Weekly 1SD range
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Live chart with Data-Driven levels
Prices from a broker MT5 account (Axi) · Thai time · levels from the latest Data-Driven round · technical analysis, not investment advice · Charts by TradingView Lightweight Charts™
Trade plan results
Every plan the system builds, scored on 1-minute bars by the published rules. Simulated, not real trades.
How results are counted (kt-result 1.0)
- Prices: the plan is converted to XAUUSD with the basis at build time (one fixed value) · 1-minute broker bars (Bid, as on the MT5 chart), excluding spread and commission
- Window: starts at the first bar after the plan is built (built while closed = starts at the open) · entries are accepted until a new plan is out or 24 hours pass · filled orders can run to the 24-hour mark
- Entry: price touches the entry and fills there exactly · the position is split equally across the TPs, each part closes at its TP · the stop loss never moves
- A bar touching both SL and TP counts the SL first · the entry bar never counts a TP · at the time limit, what is left closes at the last bar close
- Zone R = the average of all parts (one zone = 1R of risk) · total R = the sum of closed zones · a win = R above 0
- Breakout triggers are not counted as orders · past results do not guarantee future results
How to read the Data-Driven levels
Every level comes from the gold options Order Book: the open positions held at each price level (call and put side), converted to broker XAUUSD prices. Each colour matches its line on the chart above.
Back to the chart- Pivot
- The price level with the most open options positions in the Order Book. Price often gets pulled back near it, especially close to expiry.
- Call Wall
- A call-side price level with many open positions in the Order Book. It often acts as resistance where rallies slow down.
- Put Wall
- A put-side price level with many open positions in the Order Book. It often acts as support where sell-offs slow down.
- 1SD
- The range the options market expects price to stay inside about 68% of the time until the weekly expiry.
- Breakout / Breakdown
- Levels where an H1 close beyond them suggests price may keep going that way.
Questions
- What data does Data-Driven use?
- Gold futures and options data from the world’s largest futures exchange. We use how many contracts sit at each price, and the range the options market expects, to find key levels.
- Why do the chart prices differ from futures prices?
- Gold futures trade slightly above broker XAUUSD prices. We take that gap off every round, so the levels shown are in the broker prices you actually trade.
- When is it updated?
- Monday to Friday at 08:00, 13:00, 18:30 and 21:00 (Thai time), plus an extra update before high-impact US news.
- Can I just trade the plans?
- No. Levels and zones are technical analysis to support your own decisions, not investment advice. Price can run through any level, especially around news.
Data-Driven Trade is technical analysis of public market data. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to trade. Plan results are simulated, not real trading results. Trading leveraged gold CFDs is high risk and you may lose all of your capital.
AI deep dive with analysis
Section-by-section AI analysis of the gold options data, with an overview and what to watch
Gold options and futures data
Key options-market figures, the Order Book by price level, the expected range and daily position changes in one panel
Data-Driven metrics
Volatility skew, price acceleration, expected-volatility rank, Order Book concentration and the volatility term structure